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Sabin Roman

  • Completed a PhD on the topic of societal collapse, where he mathematically modelled the historical development of several societies

  • Published peer-reviewed articles on the collapse of Easter Island, the Maya, the Roman Empire and the Chinese dynasties: the Maya paper was reviewed by world-leading expert Joseph Tainter in Nature.

  • Presented the findings at the Conference for Complex Systems (2016-17, 2020-22), at the conferences of the Ecological Economics societies (2021-22) and the International System Dynamics conferences (2021-22), along with other events in economics and ecology

  • Gave extended workshops and seminars on the topic of collapse and its mathematical modelling at Darwin College (University of Cambridge), University of Wageningen, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Vienna), Complexity Science Hub (Vienna) and also the international group for Simulation-based Science and Dutch Institute for Emergent Phenomena

  • Helped organise a two day Workshop with IPPR on long-term effects of environmental breakdown, chaired a panel session “50 / 50: assessing the chances of a global catastrophe” at the Cambridge Conference on Catastrophic Risk 2021 and provided a mentor role for students participating in the Swiss and Cambridge Existential Risk Initiatives

  • Participated in EAG London and Prague, and had 50+ one-on-one extended discussions on the topic of collapse, how to understand it and build a network of people committed to its mitigation

Giuseppe Dal Pra

  • Published Spring Break in May 2017, a multidisciplinary essay advocating for rationalist and metapolitical reform to address ‘4 horsemen of the apocalypse’

  • Recommended by tutors to sit All Souls examination in September 2017, answering questions such as ‘How should we prepare for the end of the world?’ ‘What is the role of love in politics?’ and 'is incompetence the most underrated force in human history?'

  • Co-authored the ComplexCity semi-finalist entry (in the last 40 of 2700 entrants), developing Spring Break into an epistemic democratic platform proposal for citizen-led policy experiments.

  • Published Apollo Springs Eternal in June 2019, the transdisciplinary reform proposal designed to address numerous dimensions of civilisational risk building on my earlier preparatory work.

  • Chaired 'Empyrean to Eradicated' Seminar Series at the Royal Society of Arts exploring a range of possible futures.

  • Currently writing Aurora Hyperborealis, a hyperstitional short story in the (e)utopian genre. This combines metamodernism and rationalism into a short story designed to inspire a future X-risk and catastrophic risk competent, flourishing focused civilisation.

  • Participated in 2016 and 2017 EAGx Oxford and London, 2022 EA Global London as well as EAGxBerlin 2022, having over 30+ one on ones leading to establishing this institute to address areas many EAs agreed were neglected.


Our first peer-reviewed publication, accepted by Royal Society Open Science, on a Master Equation for Power Laws, with applications for conflict dynamics and system dynamical thresholds.

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